May
6th
2020
New video · 2:19pm May 6th, 2020
- Member Since 14th Jan, 2012
- offline last seen Tuesday
MrNumbers
Stories about: Feelings too complicated to describe, ponies
MrNumbers
Joined 14th Jan, 2012 ·
Offline
More Blog Posts335
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18 weeksTradition10 comments · 510 views
This one's particular poignant. Singing this on January 1 is a twelve year tradition at this point.
So fun facts
1) Did you know you don't have to be epileptic to have seizures?
2) and if you have a seizure lasting longer than five minutes you just straight out have a 20% chance of dying in the next thirty days, apparently -
24 weeksTwo Martyrs Fall for Each Other2 comments · 592 views
Here’s where I talk about this new story, 40,000 words long and written in just over a week. This is in no way to say it’s rushed, quite the opposite; It wouldn’t have been possible if I wasn’t so excited to put it out. I would consider A Complete Lack of Jealousy from All Involved a prologue more than a prequel, and suggested but not necessary reading.
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26 weeksCommissions Open: An Autobiography5 comments · 589 views
Commission rates $20USD per 1,000 words. Story ideas expected between 4K-20K preferable. Just as a heads up, I’m trying to put as much of my focus as I can into original work for publication, so I might close slots quickly or be selective with the ideas I take. Does not have to be pony, but obviously I’m going to be better or more interested in either original fiction or franchises I’m familiar
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29 weeksBlinded by Delight19 comments · 778 views
My brain diagnosis ended up way funnier than "We'll name it after you". It turned out to be "We know this is theoretically possible because there was a recorded case of it happening once in 2003". It turns out that if you have bipolar disorder and ADHD and PTSD and a traumatic brain injury, you get sick in a way that should only be possible for people who have no
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38 weeksEFNW6 comments · 800 views
I planned on making it this year but then ran into an unfortunate case of the kill-me-deads. In the moment I needed to make a call whether to cancel or not, and I knew I was dying from something but didn't know if it was going to be an easy treatment or not.
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Thought-provoking as always, good sir. Cold in Gardez fielded a similar discussion the other day.
A story that truly deserves to be called a classic and one whose message rings just as true today as it did back in '54 when it was written.
I have heard people use 12 Angry Men as a basis for arguments similar to the O.J. situation you mention and I agree that they have missed the main points of this movie. The points are not the guilty or not guilty verdict and if they are right or wrong, they are about how the system and the people involved within it get to that final result. To give it a cliché line, it is not about the final destination, it is all about the journey there.
Thoughtful and interesting. Thanks.
Excellent video. I’ve always been amazed at my (U.S.) society’s seeming ignorance or rejection of the ideal that it’s far better for your government to let the guilty go free than to punish the innocent... that our legal system was originally designed with this ideal in mind, and yet we’ve done nothing in my lifetime but stack the deck as much as possible against the accused.
My husband was a Magic Pro Tour player, and he liked to say, "bad players win with bad decks everyday". Winning doesn't necessarily mean you made the best deck or the best plays, because there's chance involved. The players who excel are those who question their own wins and look for flaws rather than vindication.
I remember just before the election, Silver's 538 gave Trump a 25% chance of winning the election, much greater than any other source. Then when Trump won, they said "Nate bet on the wrong horse", as though only an 100% prediction would have been correct. The uncertainty in the prediction is important: in similar circumstances and based on similar priors (of which there were few), you should expect a campaign like Trump's to lose three out of four times.
People don't understand probability because they need certainty to feel comfortable. You're not permitted to not take a side. When Johnny Depp and Amber Heard were at odds, you either had to believe Johnny or believe Amber. Almost nopony out there said, "I have no basis for determining who is telling the truth". Then when more evidence revealed that Amber had been manipulating and abusing Johnny, many people switched their beliefs in a heartbeat, without any sense of irony or embarrassment.
Consider the Kavanaugh nomination, or Biden's recent accusations. How many people do you think believe one or the other solely based on their political beliefs? I'd be stunned if it were less than 90%.
Confirmation bias is the worst thing about humanity.
..sorry for not (yet) watching video itself (my eng. speech recognition is not very good, even if I try ..at times), but I mostly stopped here to say 'Hey, I like to see you again, MrNumbers!" If only human social behavior was more on pony side of spectrum in general .....