https://www.fimfiction.net/blog/84856/see-you-guys-in-four-years
Ha! Time to Make Equestria Great Again! Expect something by end of December you glorious bastards.
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Kind of surprising to see a post in support (if I'm not misreading) of Trump here, given the others in my feed. Still, that said, while I didn't vote for him and wouldn't describe myself as a supporter (there are a few things I do like about him, but too many I don't and too little trust in him actually acting on the ones I do for me to feel comfortable getting behind him), him winning is the outcome I'd have bet on if I was inclined to bet on the election. I've been far more surprised by all the surprise I've been reading. I knew vaguely that the mass media gave Trump poor chances, but... wow.
I also recall a... not funny, exactly, but definitely something part in the PBS election coverage I was watching: a Trump-supporting apparently-major "conservative" activist (I forget the name of the organization he was with, but it had some version of "Conservative" in the name) was talking about how much people wanted change. Even with America's brand of conservatism, that stood out to me.
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I'm a pretty big Trump supporter, I suppose. I like a lot of his ideas on trade and immigration and globalism, even if I don't like the man very much himself. He's no Pat Buchanan for me.
Traditional polling is dead. D E A D. The only poll that actually got it right was a new type of poll from the La Times. They gathered the usual 3k sample size, but they didn't go "vote shopping" with their people. They kept the same 3k throughout the whole thing. It more accurately showed shifts in opinion rather than the traditional shift in electorate that the other polls tried to project.
This is the first time in a really long time that a Republican has used the "change" message. The closest analogy I can make for this election is Nixon's second run. He harnessed the hidden rage most of the country felt toward the radical left wing in universities and in colleges. Even though the Vietnam War was wildly unpopular, liberal students acting like they were was just plain offensive to so many Americans. It was a "change against change" as I saw it put once. Same thing for Trump. His election is a change against change. America has changed too much and now it has to be changed back.
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"I'm a pretty big Trump supporter, I suppose. I like a lot of his ideas on trade and immigration and globalism, even if I don't like the man very much himself. He's no Pat Buchanan for me."
Well, for both of us (and everyone else in the country), I hope he proves good on those. I do think he has a lot of potential to be a good (genuinely, not just the lesser of two evils) president, maybe the best we've had in decades if he can get the rest of the government to work with him, as well as a really terrible one (probably not even near, much less reaching, the Literally Hitler 2.0 panic, but I don't have quite enough confidence to say that that's completely impossible). Whether he goes either way, instead of merely being an okay president, remains to be seen.
"Traditional polling is dead. D E A D."
An idea that's probably gaining a lot more traction just at the moment, yes. :)
"The only poll that actually got it right was a new type of poll from the La Times. They gathered the usual 3k sample size, but they didn't go "vote shopping" with their people. They kept the same 3k throughout the whole thing. It more accurately showed shifts in opinion rather than the traditional shift in electorate that the other polls tried to project."
Hm, interesting; I'd not heard of that. I got my prediction that Trump would win from a moderate Burkean conservative blogger who's studied a lot of history and lives away from one of the big left-leaning urban centers. (I give the detail on his politics to clarify that it wasn't a "The poles are obviously wrong because they disagree with my personal views" blog.)
"This is the first time in a really long time that a Republican has used the "change" message. The closest analogy I can make for this election is Nixon's second run. He harnessed the hidden rage most of the country felt toward the radical left wing in universities and in colleges. Even though the Vietnam War was wildly unpopular, liberal students acting like they were was just plain offensive to so many Americans. It was a "change against change" as I saw it put once."
Hm, also interesting; thanks. I've not studied Nixon extensively, but I have wondered in the past how things would have gone if Watergate had never been uncovered.
"Same thing for Trump. His election is a change against change. America has changed too much and now it has to be changed back."
Hm, that's mixed, I'd say, though I assume that that's also what you meant (rather than an all encompassing "Yes, we're undoing everything! Everyone start walking backwards the way you came!" way). Some changes I think have been good, some bad, and some mixed, and I expect most people would say the same... the problem being, of course, different people placing different changes in each category.
How'd you come up with your username?
lol