I must say, I fell like an idiot for not realizing you would probably blame Scootaloo.
However, if that guy that came up with the theory is as good as he looks, he is going to realize that this might be a set up. After all, psychos are not known for not planing things.

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I'm glad to have pulled the wool over at least ONE person's eyes

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Yeah, I fell right into it.
But I must say, this fic actually gets more reaction out of me than others of the kind because of the realism you are putting into it.

I mean, this is how something like this would actually happen. Many tragedy/dark fics leave realism behind for shock value. Like, for instance, Cheerlie's garden. [spoilers ahead]
That was an amazing grim dark fic, but lost its touch with reality on the end. A fire would never destroy all the evidence of what Cheerlie did for several reasons; neither would the water that Twilight used to extinguish the said fire. The skeletons of Tiara and Silver Spoon were way too clean to be from two burn victims. An autopsy would reveal that they were cleaned, probably by chemical means. Snip’s broken horn would also raise suspicions. Even without these other things, no sane parent would leave their children with somepony who let a fire kill a whole class because she "was someplace else". They would said she should have been watching the foals and she would never work with foals again.

Not this fic, this here is a fine example of Reality Ensues. Things would happen like that in Equestria. Twilight doesn't have enough training in psychology to know that a psychopath would react as others expect in a situation like this, thus she would be likely blame Scootaloo.

You make me proud son.
Keep up the good work.

It's just awesome :D
I luv it

Hahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha