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I retract the main points of my blog post on covid-19 · 6:26am March 30th

Thanks to everyone who criticized my post on covid-19. I still think the analysis I made was well-justified, but it certainly wasn't clear, and didn't adequately deal with death rates.

I was rewriting the article to be more balanced and less conclusive when I was flummoxed by something no one pointed out, which should have been obvious from the beginning: The number of positive cases and deaths is already greater than predicted by the models.

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