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Bad Dragon
Group Admin

Post your market tips for October.

Bad Dragon
Group Admin

Yesterday Crude Oil futures (CL) signaled an extremehurst compression signal. This market signal is non-directional but indicates a new trend is about to emerge.

Theses signals are born out of “EXTREME MEAN REVERSION” or trendless environments. And further, they tend to initiate new trends that last at least the amount of time they took to build. In this case, the new trend could last 3 months or more.


Source: http://www.seeitmarket.com/crude-oil-chart-compression-signal-points-new-trend-16104/

Bad Dragon
Group Admin

The Fed is still showing no signs of truly being aggressive on rates. We are probably talking about another 2-3 years before they ratchet up rates enough to push the 10 year to 3% or higher. Below that level stocks are still the superior investment to bonds on Earnings Yield basis.
Source: Zacks

Bad Dragon
Group Admin

It would seem that investors are starting to get over their fear of higher rates as a reason to sell stocks. That is because there is a BIG difference between "high rates" and "higher rates".

High rates = 3.5%+ on the 10 year Treasury

Higher rates = moving up from recent historic lows to a current 1.7% reading...even a 2% or 2.5% reading is still well below the historical averages.

The economic data has improved to the point where a Fed rate hike in December is very likely. Gladly investors are getting used to this notion and thus more likely to celebrate good economic news with higher stock prices in the future.

-Source: Zacks

Bad Dragon
Group Admin

Crude oil might plunge lower soon, before the bull takes over again on the long run.

Source: http://www.seeitmarket.com/united-states-oil-fund-uso-headed-lower-soon-16142/

Bad Dragon
Group Admin

Oil is at 50 now. It is expected to be between 45 and 50 at the end of 2016.

Bad Dragon
Group Admin

Hasbro published the results above expectation. Its stock rose 7.5%. Yay, ponies!

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